So, Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management is throwing down on Halliburton (HAL). Two and a half million call options, huh? The guy who called the 2008 crash is now betting on oil. Let's be real, that's got to make you raise an eyebrow. Or maybe both.
Halliburton, bless its heart, is North America's biggest oilfield-services company. They do the fracking, the drilling fluids, the whole shebang. Market cap of $22.88 billion? Sounds stable enough, I guess. They're bragging about helping producers lower their costs per barrel. But isn't that just prolonging the inevitable? We're talking about oil, people. It's a dying industry, right? Or at least, it should be.
And the stock's been flat this year. Flat! That's not exactly inspiring confidence, is it? It's like watching paint dry, only the paint is…black gold? I don't know. The analogy doesn't really work. Anyway, it just seems like a weird play.
Okay, let's dive into the numbers. P/E ratio of 18, close to a 2-year high. That’s not great. P/S ratio of 1.06, P/B ratio of 2.24... Whatever. Honestly, these numbers just blur together after a while. Analysts are saying the target price is $29.22. Who cares what "analysts" think, anyway? They're usually wrong. Give me a break.
The RSI (14) is nearing overbought territory. So, basically, it's a gamble.

Institutional ownership is high, though - 86.59%. So the big boys are in. Does that mean it's a good bet, or just that they're all lemmings heading for the same cliff?
And they're aiming for $400 million in cost savings. "Cost-cutting measures" is just code for layoffs, right? How many people are gonna lose their jobs so Burry can make a quick buck? According to a recent report, Scion Asset Management Increases Stake in Halliburton (HAL), Burry's firm has increased its stake in Halliburton.
Burry saw something in 2008 that nobody else did. Or maybe he just got lucky. Either way, people are paying attention now. Is he betting on a short-term spike in oil prices? Is he thinking the green energy transition is further off than we think? Or is he just messing with us?
He's playing chess while everyone else is playing checkers. Or maybe he's just playing a completely different game, one we don't even understand.
Honestly, I don't get it. I really don't. Maybe I'm missing something huge. Maybe Burry's a genius and I'm just a cynical idiot sitting here in my pajamas, judging from the sidelines. Then again, maybe he's lost his damn mind.
It's a crapshoot. A gamble. A bet on a dying industry. It might pay off, it might not. But either way, it feels…wrong. Like betting on Blockbuster in 2010. Good luck with that.
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